The average capacity calculations were based on existing development patterns inside the UGB completed for the previous UGB expansion analysis acknowledged by the state of Oregon in January 2018. Before expanding the UGB into Urban Reserves, the state requires cities to take actions to facilitate denser development within the UGB. If land is still needed for growth after that, then the UGB will expand into Urban Reserves.
In theory, House Bill 2001 may allow Eugene to develop more densely, however, there is no way to know future development patterns and market conditions. Because of this, the bill states that local jurisdictions can increase their density estimations by only 3% after the implementation of the bill. The 3% increase may reduce the amount of land needed at the next UGB expansion analysis. House Bill 2001 code amendments will be finalized before June 2023 and will begin to take effect then. The bill may affect overall city density, how much land is needed when the UGB expands, and how quickly we would need to expand into Urban Reserves.